Should I sell today?

One read, in plain words: is today a good day to sell option premium — and if so, a defined-risk starting point with the worst case shown up front. Green is a permission slip, not a push; red and yellow are a nudge to be small or wait. Tap “Why?” on any card to see what decided it.

BTCMarginal

Marginal — be small or sit out

Conditions score

57/100

Conditions are mixed: fear is priced above real movement and the market's been calm, but options are cheap versus their history. If you sell at all, keep it to the smallest size — and there is no shame in skipping.

Price is trending (-3.6% over 7 days). A range trade can get run over in a trend — favor the side the market is moving away from, or wait for it to settle.

If you must trade — the shape

Expires 2026-08-07 · ~10 days away

A defined-risk range trade: sell a call above and a put below today’s price, and buy further-out options as insurance so the worst case is capped.

Aimed at about a week to expiry — long enough to collect steadily, short enough to stay manageable, and it sidesteps the violent last-day swings of same-day options.

You keep the premium if price stays in this zone until expiry

Between $60,000 and $67,500 (−6.2% / +5.6% from spot $63,941)

Sell call 67,500 · sell put 60,000 · insurance: buy call 71,000, buy put 58,000

You collect

$0.4

per 1 lot

Worst case

−$3.1

per 1 lot · capped

Chance you keep it

76%

rough estimate

Before you sell: one lot risks about $3.1 at the very worst. Size so that number is money you are genuinely fine losing — while you are learning, keep it to 1 lot. 1 lot = 0.001 BTC of exposure.

Open in the Payoff builder to size exactly →See the live chain →

ETHSell-friendly

Decent day to sell premium

Conditions score

63/100

Right now fear is priced above real movement — a premium seller’s edge is present. Green means the conditions are favorable, not a promise; the trade below is a starting point, and your finger is on the button.

This ETH read is from live conditions only — the backtested track record so far covers BTC, not ETH. Treat the light as "conditions look right", not "this has paid before".

Suggested starter trade

Expires 2026-08-07 · ~10 days away

A defined-risk range trade: sell a call above and a put below today’s price, and buy further-out options as insurance so the worst case is capped.

Aimed at about a week to expiry — long enough to collect steadily, short enough to stay manageable, and it sidesteps the violent last-day swings of same-day options.

You keep the premium if price stays in this zone until expiry

Between $1,800 and $2,050 (−6.2% / +6.8% from spot $1,920)

Sell call 2,050 · sell put 1,800 · insurance: buy call 2,100, buy put 1,750

You collect

$0.15

per 1 lot

Worst case

−$0.35

per 1 lot · capped

Chance you keep it

62%

rough estimate

Before you sell: one lot risks about $0.35 at the very worst. Size so that number is money you are genuinely fine losing — while you are learning, keep it to 1 lot. 1 lot = 0.01 ETH of exposure.

Open in the Payoff builder to size exactly →See the live chain →

XAUTMarginal

Marginal — be small or sit out

Conditions score

50/100

Conditions are mixed: but the edge is thin. If you sell at all, keep it to the smallest size — and there is no shame in skipping.

This XAUT read is from live conditions only — the backtested track record so far covers BTC, not XAUT. Treat the light as "conditions look right", not "this has paid before".

Conditions look sell-friendly, but the current chain is too thin to build a clean defined-risk trade right now. Check the chain directly.

Educational analytics, not financial advice. The score is a transparent read of live market conditions (option richness, the gap between implied and realized volatility, and recent calm), not a prediction — markets can move against any trade, and the worst case shown can happen. You place, size, and own every trade yourself.